Friday, July 20, 2012

Disease accuses of the chief expert of central epidemiology: The first of second wave flowed to come

Disease accuses of the chief expert of central epidemiology: The first of second wave flowed to come
According to the report of Beijing (Xinhua) the 9th September (reporter Zhou TingYu, Zhang LiNa, Cui Jing) "First influenza is really spreading at the unexpected speed, the morbidity quantity of one day of some countries is equivalent to the quantity for one week of before, I think that has already come in epidemic situation of ' the second wave '. " China disease accuse of central the intersection of epidemiology and chief expert say in this way when being been only interviewed by reporter.


According to the incomplete statistics of WHO, only in the last week in August, increased by 25% and 35% respectively if the whole world adds up to a influenza patient and death quantity of first type H 1N. In the hinterland of our country, first type H 1N a influenza epidemic situation presents the same trend too: Within last week, the local case has already accounted for 95%; Since the last ten days of June, the assembling has already 128 happens to have illness coming on in the hinterland.
Have only pointed out, undoubtedly the epidemic situation is in the ascendant trend at present, but this kind of trend was only a beginning recently, the number of the infected may be aggravated while rising later on.
Have only pointed out, the initial epidemic situation is spread fashionably, rely mainly on inputting outside the border, and progressive. But different this time, onset to take native case as the core, more person who assemble, the ill number of people increases swiftly and violently.
Zeng Guang says, at last stage, medium and small-scale city and central and west regions were as to big city, the epidemic situation is slight, so lack and temper the course, lack the experience of prevention and control, it is not urgent to combine with the consciousness of prevention and control, mental preparation is insufficient, very apt to cause the case to run up.
" the second wave " The epidemic situation has not only strengthened the difficulty of prevention and control but also will add the pressure to work of medical treatment, medium and small-scale city and rural area will be a weak link. With the fast rising of the case, will undoubtedly increase medical treatment to bear, and is limited to treating and curing competence and ability, probably cause the rising of the critical case quantity, will influence and treat and cure result and case fatality rate finally.
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